【槟城】Coconutwei的Forex心得/技术分享 【更新 16-08-2014】

Coconutwei

金色狂风 发表于 26-5-2014 05:12 PM
因为我看你在做position，我还以为只看金叉死叉就可以赚到钱那么神，做scalping的话还有可能啦。哈哈

scalping这个方式肯定能，不过也只能1-5 pips。
后来就放弃这个方法了。

因为学到了每单差不多50-200 pips的方式。
这个方式是新手法，我就是被这个method骗走了5000美金。（当时很蠢！）

金色狂风

Coconutwei 发表于 26-5-2014 05:18 PM
scalping这个方式肯定能，不过也只能1-5 pips。
后来就放弃这个方法了。

其实做position也是能用这个方法啦，只是可能要加上macd, rsi, stoc, 之类的指标，不过我也没有用过，我是随便问问而已，哈哈。

Coconutwei

金色狂风 发表于 26-5-2014 05:24 PM
其实做position也是能用这个方法啦，只是可能要加上macd, rsi, stoc, 之类的指标，不过我也没有用过，我是 ...

RSI我倒不是很会用。
而且金叉死叉这个，往往都少赚了很多pips。
我有看你的贴，100单赚99单，你都是神了。

金色狂风

Coconutwei 发表于 26-5-2014 05:30 PM
RSI我倒不是很会用。
而且金叉死叉这个，往往都少赚了很多pips。
我有看你的贴，100单赚99单，你都是神 ...

MA, MACD, STOC, 这些都是lagging指标，所以我很少会去用到，
我只看leading的指标like fibo，gann，还有price action.
我只是做有把握的单，所以才比较会赚，但我很肯定我是人不是神，哈哈

Coconutwei

金色狂风 发表于 26-5-2014 05:37 PM
MA, MACD, STOC, 这些都是lagging指标，所以我很少会去用到，
我只看leading的指标like fibo，gann，还有 ...

大概给你看个概念。
点位1.9760很重要。

金色狂风

Coconutwei 发表于 26-5-2014 05:43 PM
大概给你看个概念。
点位1.9760很重要。

镑纽这个1.9760位置太重要啦，你多头介入了？从历史的角度来看这个是一个非常非常强大的阻力线哦，价钱要推上去除非有重大的新闻发布吧，不然以目前欧系货币的表现那么弱应该很难推得上去。这个纯属我个人观点啦。

Coconutwei

金色狂风 发表于 26-5-2014 08:35 PM
镑纽这个1.9760位置太重要啦，你多头介入了？从历史的角度来看这个是一个非常非常强大的阻力线哦，价钱 ...

我在等，相信是突破不了。
一突破不可收拾。

英雄同见，你果然也是好汉一个！

金色狂风

Coconutwei 发表于 26-5-2014 08:42 PM
我在等，相信是突破不了。
一突破不可收拾。

它破不破我不知道啦，升上去就跟上去买咯，如果跌下来赶快空头介入就好了对我来说这种位置最好做单了，多头空头都有非常大的盈利空间。明天美国开市的时候就可以见真章了

Coconutwei

金色狂风 发表于 26-5-2014 09:04 PM
它破不破我不知道啦，升上去就跟上去买咯，如果跌下来赶快空头介入就好了对我来说这种位置最好做单了，多 ...

是的，今天大家休息。
加油！我虽然是不支持没有SL的方式，但是只要赚到钱，都是好方法！

hyj

coconut wei 你要开班吗？呵呵呵呵

Coconutwei

hyj 发表于 15-8-2014 06:32 PM
coconut wei 你要开班吗？呵呵呵呵

【北马区】 新手指导聚会
http://cforum.cari.com.my/forum. ... amp;fromuid=1819412

Coconutwei

此篇是我最新的升级版。
目前是英文版本，我需要很多时间改去华文。

Trader Name : Coconutwei
Website : https://www.facebook.com/pages/C ... ry/1434999196725202
Experience : Jul 2013
Registration Link : https://www.hotforex.com/?refid=109369

This article is not suitable for beginner.
If you are, please complete your knowledge at www.babypips.com.

1. Choose the RIGHT Broker

This is the most important steps. If you choose the wrong one, no matter how much you earn, you probably won't be able to withdraw.

1-1. Google/Internet

Make full use of google.com.
Type the keyword such as "ABC FX" added with a word, "scam". If there are any results, SKIP AND AVOID IT.

There are also few websites to be utilitize as well, namely, www.forexpeacearmy.com.
Go into that website, and search for the name of the broker, and READ the reviews. They will give you an answer.

Now we had filtered the bad reviewed brokers, now let's compare which brokers are better.
Now let's use FXCM and HotForex in this example. Google this, "FXCM vs HotForex"



You will get the results as above. In this example, I would like to recommend http://www.forexbrokerz.com



I personally prefer this website.
First of all, it compare both Editors and Users reviews, and also clearly differentiate the advantages of both brokers.

1-2. Regulation and License

You need to know whether they are regulated, and licensed by any financial institute.
In Malaysia, Bank Negara (BNM) is the regulated party. However, they never issue any license, yet never ban any brokers.
Regulator, are the one tolicense, regulate, monitor and supervise the conduct of businessactivities in these sectors.
In worst case scenario, if the broker goes bankrupt or run away, they are the one you can approach.

I will use HotForex in this example. HotForex have 2 licenses.
- http://www.fscmauritius.org/
- http://www.cysec.gov.cy/default_en.aspx



Now, do not stop right here. Please make an efforts, click into the link, and SEARCH whether they are in the list!
This is how most scammers scam you. They will just use the name of the regulator, but they are not in the list, because they knew people do not make efforts to investigate.

1-3. Deposit and Withdrawal

I do not bother about deposit, because everyone will make sure the money go into their pocket fast.
What important is WITHDRAWAL. Again, google and see how long it takes to withdraw your money.
Best, try to withdraw IMMEDIATELLY after you deposit.

There will be charges upon withdrawal, but, it is better to be safe than sorry.

1-4. Lock Credits and Packages

First, you have to sign up a package, assuming RM10,000.
Then, they will lock 30% of your funds, which is RM3000, to protect themselves or with whatever reasons.
I personally strongly believe that, that 30%, was actually used to fund the upline.
Usually those who lock your credits, are in a ponzi scheme.

Now, of all the legal brokers, which only required $5 to open an account, why do you have to spend $10000, and being locked by others?

1-5. Ponzi Scheme

A Ponzi scheme is a fraudulent investment operation where the operator, an individual or organization, pays returns to its investors from new capital paid to the operators by new investors, rather than from profit earned by the operator. Operators of Ponzi schemes usually entice new investors by offering higher returns than other investments, in the form of short-term returns that are either abnormally high or unusually consistent. The perpetuation of the high returns requires an ever-increasing flow of money from new investors to sustain the scheme.



p/s : To cut it short, they do not earn by selling products/services. They earned from the newly recruited members. Hence it became a money game.

Reference
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ponzi_scheme
http://economics.about.com/od/financialmarkets/f/ponzi_scheme.htm

2. Education

Now we are done with selecting the right brokers. Let's get down to business.
I am not going to explain what is candlestick, or explain what is pips and pipettes.
Please read these basic info at www.babypips.com.

2-1. Lot Size / Volumn

If you are beginner, ALWAYS trade with 0.01 or 0.02.
Why? Because you will definitely not able to earn from the market as a beginner.
If you can, then why would you need experts or experienced fund managers for?
It is just like any games or business, pay tuition fees, learn from the experience, and keep upgrading yourself.

You WILL NEVER become an expert in a short period of time.

Now, once you are capable of making stable income for continuous 3 months, use this formula.
Lot Size = Capital / 10000

Eg.
Your capital is $10000
$10000 / 10000 = 1 lot
Hence, your maximum trading volumn is 1 lot.
It also means you can lose for 1000 pips continuously.
So each trade, let's say 50 pips is your SL, then, it is $500 if you SL.
That is exactly 5% maximum lost per trade.

2-2. Psycology Effects and Disclipline

You need to get used with Stop Lost.
You need to be patience.
You need to stop getting heartache even when you are losing.

When you are emotional unstable, DO NOT TRADE.
Every decision you made will make the situation even worse, until you do not even know why you make such an order.

Before you start making order (entry), you need to plan.
Why you choose to buy/sell?
What support the decision of buy/sell?
What is the appropriate stop lost?
What should you do when it stop lost (SL)?
What should you do when it take profit (TP)?
When should you add another order? （加仓）
When should you reduce your volumn? （减仓）

Plan well, so you do not get panic when shits happen.

Coconutwei

1. Trend

你必须知道当今是什么趋势。
趋势有分三种，上趋势，下趋势，震荡。
上趋势只做多单
下趋势只做空单
震荡尽量高空低多

2. Support and Resistance

你必须知道什么是support and resistance。
每当蜡烛到那边时，就是关键点。
只有两个情况会发生，【一】突破，【二】反弹。
通常是我们做单最好的时候。
简单化，你可以用MT4里提供的Fibonancci，是我个人认为很强的工具。

3. Trendline

把趋势线给画出来
趋势线，尽量要碰到三个点位才算稳定
通常蜡烛碰到趋势线，就会反弹
如果突破，就从空做多，从多做空
不过，市场也有假突破的时候

4. Stochastic and MACD

我个人很专用这两个指标
注意的是stochastic的等级位，以及他们的交叉
当然，配合不同的时间，D1，H4，以及H1来看整个市场的方向
以此，可以看得出是否在回调等

我也利用这两个指标来做进场点位，和TP点位

5. Strategy Planning

在入场之前，你必须有个概念，确定市场的方向如何走。
如果你看到的是个上趋势，那么你多，决定不会错。
如果还是中SL，就必须检讨哪里出错，以此改进。
决定好你的点位，预算你的SL，看好你的TP点位。
进了单，就不要理了。
如果中了SL，是否要反手做单？

这些，全部都是你在做单前应该做好的功课。

6. Combine, Conclude, and Execute



这个是我原本只给团队的分析图，今天为了解释，就拿来用。

看好空势，确定趋势。
看好support and resistance，利用Fibonacci把每个阻力给看清。
认定了点位，做单。

1. 中了我的trendline，我预计反弹，也准备好做突破单的心理准备。
2. Stochastic也到达了高点位，confirmed了我做空单的信心。
3. 蜡烛突破了我的trendline，我另外做了空单。

只不过我没有想到，有250pips + 200pips的盈利，原本只预计大约100-150pips而已。

howie_yee84

这位椰子大哥的用心值得佩服，赞10个！

Coconutwei

EURUSD 2014-08-19
Buy  1.3333
Sell 1.3390

其本上，EU还是处于很强的空势。




XAUUSD 2014-08-19 @ 8pm
Sell @ 1303
Sell @ 1307
Buy @ 1313




GBPJPY 2014-08-19 @ 8pm
Not going to trade. The main trade already passed. Have to wait tomorrow for another entry point. Currently I am observing 171.35.

ThunderGod

here to save

ThunderGod

here to save

ThunderGod

here to save

Coconutwei

ThunderGod 发表于 19-8-2014 09:12 PM
here to save

你save 3次来干嘛？

Coconutwei

黄金到了1279。
1280是阻力。
然而1280-1282也是我趋势线的阻力。

1. 如果还是处于空势，我相信1280-1282，可以空。
2. 如果趋势更换，破了1285，转手做多。
3. 如果到了1267-1270，我相信已经到了超卖的地步，可以转手做多。

各位大大，有意见，说说一下，我愿意接受批评。